In the summer of 2024, Mobile Home and Manufactured Home Living News published a report on the percentage of each state’s population that were made up of residents of pre-HUD Code mobile homes and post-HUD Code manufactured homes. That report was based upon the U.S. Census Bureau and American Community Survey, linked here, and goes into additional details not found in what follows. Using that information, what comes into focus is this surprising fact. It is possible that the residents of mobile and manufactured homes could shift several elections, including for Congress and the presidency in the upcoming 2024 election. This news analysis will walk readers step-by-step through the evidence.
1) Many readers already understand that while the national popular vote in presidential elections is interesting, the U.S. Constitution has made the Electoral College outcome what actually determines who becomes the next president and vice president of the United States of America (USA). In the video that follows, the path to victory for both major party candidates, Kamala Harris (D) and deposed 45th President of the United States (POTUS) Donald J. Trump are explored.
2) Election Time (ET) used the latest left-leaning New York Times/Siena Poll. This ET generated video report may help explain why Kamala Harris (D) has been calling for a new debate against the deposed 45th President Donald J. Trump (R). While there are partisans on both sides that say their candidate is winning according to this or that survey, this analysis lays out the specific polls, their dates, and what it means based on the electoral college map.
3) Recall that it requires 270 electoral college votes to win the White House. While the much-ballyhooed NYT/Siena Poll is used, so are others, as ET details. As a tip, this writer often personally increases the replay speed to 150 percent when viewing their videos. I get the speakers points and save time doing it. That noted, ET explains Harris’ and Trump’s paths to victory without apparent partisanship.
4) With the close margins (often just 1 to 5 percent) that separates the leader and the also-ran in the various states, what is posted below from the more detailed report linked here reflects that in numbers of states mobile/manufactured home residents – if the operated as a block – could be the deciding factors, based on data from the source(s) shown, i.e.: the U.S. Census Bureau and American Community Survey (ACS).
Table ID: | R2501 | |||
Table Name: | PERCENT OF HOUSING UNITS THAT ARE MOBILE HOMES | |||
Select a Geography: | United States | <— SELECT YOUR GEOGRAPHY | ||
Estimate: | 5.6 | The Estimate and MOE are automatically | ||
Margin of Error: | +/-0.1 | filled in once Geography is selected. |
RANK | GEOGRAPHY | ESTIMATE | MARGIN_OF_ERROR |
United States | 5.6 | +/-0.1 | |
1 | New Mexico | 15.5 | +/-0.6 |
2 | Mississippi | 15.0 | +/-0.5 |
3 | South Carolina | 14.2 | +/-0.4 |
4 | West Virginia | 13.8 | +/-0.6 |
5 | Louisiana | 12.6 | +/-0.4 |
6 | Alabama | 12.2 | +/-0.3 |
7 | Arkansas | 11.4 | +/-0.4 |
8 | Wyoming | 11.3 | +/-0.9 |
9 | Kentucky | 10.9 | +/-0.4 |
10 | North Carolina | 10.8 | +/-0.3 |
11 | Arizona | 8.9 | +/-0.3 |
11 | Montana | 8.9 | +/-0.7 |
13 | Oklahoma | 8.5 | +/-0.3 |
14 | Tennessee | 8.3 | +/-0.3 |
15 | Florida | 8.2 | +/-0.1 |
16 | Georgia | 8.0 | +/-0.2 |
17 | Maine | 7.9 | +/-0.5 |
18 | North Dakota | 7.5 | +/-0.7 |
19 | South Dakota | 6.9 | +/-0.5 |
20 | Idaho | 6.8 | +/-0.5 |
20 | Oregon | 6.8 | +/-0.3 |
22 | Delaware | 6.5 | +/-0.7 |
23 | Texas | 6.3 | +/-0.2 |
24 | Vermont | 5.5 | +/-0.5 |
25 | Washington | 5.4 | +/-0.2 |
26 | Missouri | 5.3 | +/-0.2 |
26 | Nevada | 5.3 | +/-0.3 |
28 | Michigan | 5.2 | +/-0.2 |
29 | New Hampshire | 4.8 | +/-0.4 |
30 | Indiana | 4.3 | +/-0.2 |
30 | Virginia | 4.3 | +/-0.2 |
32 | Kansas | 4.0 | +/-0.2 |
33 | Alaska | 3.7 | +/-0.5 |
34 | Colorado | 3.6 | +/-0.2 |
35 | California | 3.5 | +/-0.1 |
35 | Pennsylvania | 3.5 | +/-0.1 |
37 | Ohio | 3.4 | +/-0.1 |
38 | Iowa | 3.1 | +/-0.2 |
38 | Wisconsin | 3.1 | +/-0.1 |
40 | Minnesota | 2.9 | +/-0.1 |
40 | Utah | 2.9 | +/-0.3 |
42 | Nebraska | 2.6 | +/-0.2 |
43 | Illinois | 2.2 | +/-0.1 |
44 | New York | 2.1 | +/-0.1 |
45 | Maryland | 1.3 | +/-0.1 |
46 | New Jersey | 1.0 | +/-0.1 |
47 | Connecticut | 0.8 | +/-0.1 |
47 | Massachusetts | 0.8 | +/-0.1 |
47 | Rhode Island | 0.8 | +/-0.2 |
50 | Hawaii | 0.3 | +/-0.1 |
51 | District of Columbia | 0.0 | +/-0.1 |
Puerto Rico | 0.3 | +/-0.1 | |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2022 American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates |
5) According to the left-leaning BBC: “Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin could be pivotal in November.” Those are the so-called “swing states” that make the difference if the electoral contest is close. Let’s grab those states from the information found in #7 above, per the U.S. Census Bureau and the 2022 American Community Survey (ACS).
State | Percentage of Population of Mobile Home/Manufactured Home Residents |
Arizona | 8.9 |
Georgia | 8 |
Michigan | 5.2 |
North Carolina | 10.8 |
Pennsylvania | 3.5 |
Virginia | 4.3 |
Wisconsin | 3.1 |
Postscripts 1-3.
1)
Postscript 2) MHLivingNews is pro-manufactured housing but advises potential home buyers to shop carefully and avoid doing business with so-called predator firms. Few manufactured home websites other than MHLivingNews and our MHProNews sister site provide as much information and evidence about concerns regarding unjust and potentially illegal business practices attributed to specific manufactured home firms. The following are just some examples. Search this site, or our sister site, by company or organization name to learn more.
Postscript 3) Shopping tips are found in the videos with transcripts, graphics, and information found linked below.
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Mobile Home and Manufactured Home Living News explores the good, bad, and ugly realities that keep the most proven form of affordable home ownership under-appreciated and misunderstood. MHLivingNews provides third-party research and other resource collections and reports not found on other sites. We also provide thought provoking analysis that are designed to open minds and hearts. This is the widely acknowledged best source for authentic news on mobile and manufactured home living, as well as the policies that impact this segment of housing that provides 22 million Americans with good, surprisingly appealing living.
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That’s a wrap on this installment of “News through the lens of manufactured homes and factory-built housing” © where “We Provide, You Decide.” © ## (Affordable housing, manufactured homes, reports, fact-checks, analysis, and commentary. Third-party images or content are provided under fair use guidelines for media.) (See Related Reports, further below. Text/image boxes often are hot-linked to other reports that can be access by clicking on them.)
By L.A. “Tony” Kovach – for MHLivingNews.com.
Tony earned a journalism scholarship and earned numerous awards in history and in manufactured housing. For example, he earned the prestigious Lottinville Award in history from the University of Oklahoma, where he studied history and business management. He’s a managing member and co-founder of LifeStyle Factory Homes, LLC, the parent company to MHProNews, and MHLivingNews.com. This article reflects the LLC’s and/or the writer’s position, and may or may not reflect the views of sponsors or supporters.
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